Rate hike expected now in August


Rate hike expected now in August

The Bank of England will wait until August before raising interest rates, according to polls taken over the last few days. We expected a rate rise this Thursday, but a massive turnaround after comments from BoE Governor Mark Carney, together with weak data suggesting Britain’s economy is barely growing. At the start of April, they […]

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Sterling continues poor run

Market probability of a rate hike from the Bank of England next week has dropped to less than a tenth from more than 90 percent a month ago. Weak survey data from Britain’s services sector for April rounded off a disappointing streak of economic figures starting with last week’s shock first quarter GDP data and […]

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UK Manufacturing hits a 17 month low in April

Banks have pushed out their predictions for when the Bank of England will raise interest rates after data last week showed a sharp and unexpected slowdown in Britain’s economic growth. Expectations the British central bank would raise borrowing costs in May had already weakened after Governor Mark Carney highlighted “mixed” economic data and noted there […]

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UK GDP grows at weakest pace since 2012

Sterling fell to an eight-week low against the dollar on Friday after Britain’s economy slowed much more sharply than expected in the first three months of 2018. Sterling slumped 0.8 percent after Britain’s economy grew at its weakest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012, expanding by just 0.1 percent in Q1 2018. That figure […]

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Sterling hits fresh lows against the dollar

Sterling dropped to its lowest since level since the middle of March, its sixth consecutive daily fall as investors are worried about the performance of the British economy. April has historically proved to be supportive for the pound because of a seasonal rise in capital inflows into Britain from foreign companies paying UK shareholders dividends. […]

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Sterling hits a 2 week low

Sterling slipped to a two-week low against the dollar and Euro as investors questioned whether the Bank of England would raise interest rates in May following weaker-than-expected economic data and cautious comments from governor Mark Carney. The pound has been one of the best performing major currencies in 2018 and last week surged to its […]

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Market Update – Dollar Struggles

Bank of England credit conditions survey may receive some attention today. Markets will be looking for signs of an impact from last November’s interest rate hike on the demand for or availability of credit. Tonight, BoE Governor Carney is talking in Canada, but unlikely we will get anything new regarding monetary policy from this. In […]

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UK data disappointing this morning

British manufacturing output fell unexpectedly in February, its first drop in almost a year, according to official figures that added to signs the economy may have slowed in the first quarter. The data, released this morning along with figures for overseas trade, also showed another sharp drop in construction output, defying expectations for a small […]

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Sterling confidence grows

The pound came under modest selling pressure yesterday, as the UK service PMI disappointed and the composite PMI fell to the lowest since the EU referendum. Overall, this week’s PMI figures indicate downside risks to activity in coming months and while we see signs that the activity is slowing, it is worth noting that weaker […]

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Euro gains as dollar weakens

The euro rose to a new five-week high this morning, mainly due to dollar weakness prompting investors to put their money into the Eurozone. Global markets were shaken this month after U.S. President Donald Trump moved to impose tariffs on Chinese goods and Beijing threatened similar measures. Comments from Jens Weidmann, Germany’s likely candidate to […]

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