Sterling Steadies


Sterling Steadies

The British pound regained some recent losses against the euro and dollar after today’s better-than-expected UK construction PMI, which was surprisingly better following a recent string of disappointing UK economic data. The UK construction sector activity rebounded sharply in April, with the final Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) jumping to 52.5 points as compared to […]

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UK Manufacturing hits a 17 month low in April

Banks have pushed out their predictions for when the Bank of England will raise interest rates after data last week showed a sharp and unexpected slowdown in Britain’s economic growth. Expectations the British central bank would raise borrowing costs in May had already weakened after Governor Mark Carney highlighted “mixed” economic data and noted there […]

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UK GDP grows at weakest pace since 2012

Sterling fell to an eight-week low against the dollar on Friday after Britain’s economy slowed much more sharply than expected in the first three months of 2018. Sterling slumped 0.8 percent after Britain’s economy grew at its weakest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012, expanding by just 0.1 percent in Q1 2018. That figure […]

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ECB Meeting Today

The main economic event today is the ECB policy announcement at 12:45BST, followed by the press conference with President Mario Draghi at 13:30BST. No changes to interest rates or the asset purchase programme (€30bn/month) are expected. At the last meeting in March, the ECB removed its easing bias on asset purchases but kept the end […]

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Market Update

Sterling fell against the dollar today as the U.S. currency strengthened on the back of rising Treasury yields, while traders remained cautious ahead of British GDP numbers due on Friday. The economic growth release will be the last key data released before the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting early next month, and markets […]

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Sterling hits fresh lows against the dollar

Sterling dropped to its lowest since level since the middle of March, its sixth consecutive daily fall as investors are worried about the performance of the British economy. April has historically proved to be supportive for the pound because of a seasonal rise in capital inflows into Britain from foreign companies paying UK shareholders dividends. […]

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Sterling hits a 2 week low

Sterling slipped to a two-week low against the dollar and Euro as investors questioned whether the Bank of England would raise interest rates in May following weaker-than-expected economic data and cautious comments from governor Mark Carney. The pound has been one of the best performing major currencies in 2018 and last week surged to its […]

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Carney comments hammer the pound!

BoE Governor Carney, in an interview last night, seemed somewhat less committal in regards to tightening policy in the UK, focusing more on the slow path in the coming years while suggesting that “a hike is likely this year”. The market has been near “fully priced” for a 25bp hike in May and a rising […]

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Retail Sales Miss Expectations

UK retail sales recorded their biggest quarterly fall in a year during the three months to March. We expected as much as the weather played a big part, keeping consumers at home. Retail sales volumes in March were 1.2 percent lower than the month before. For the first quarter, sales volumes dropped by 0.5 percent […]

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UK Inflation drops unexpectedly

UK inflation dropped to a one year low, according to figures which now raise doubts about a rate rise in May and further rises going forward. There is still a 96% chance of a UK rate rise in May and we believe this is already priced into the markets. Official data showed annual consumer price […]

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