Volatility Ahead


Volatility Ahead

Sterling looks set for more volatility this week however amid growing talk of a likely “hard” Brexit — crashing out of the European Union without a trade deal in place. A weekend poll revealed Britons were overwhelmingly opposed to Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit plan and would instead support a new right-wing political party committed […]

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Sterling Continues To Slide

The British pound steadied around the $1.30 mark on Friday as traders took stock at the end of a bruising week in which weak economic data and more political uncertainty around the government’s Brexit position hammered sterling. The currency dropped to its weakest, after worse-than-forecast retail sales data and slower-than-expected inflation rises combined with a […]

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UK Retail Sales Surprisingly Drop

British retail sales grew by the most in over a decade in the second quarter of 2018, official data showed this morning, giving the Bank of England reassurance shoppers had shaken off a sluggish start to the year as it considers raising interest rates. However, the sales volumes came in way below market expectations and […]

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British Inflation Fails To Rise

British inflation failed to rise as expected last month, potentially giving Bank of England policymakers pause for thought ahead of a widely expected interest rate hike next month. Despite motor fuel prices rising to their highest since September 2014, annual consumer price inflation held steady in June at 2.4 percent. The figure was at the […]

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UK Pay Growth Slows

British workers’ pay growth has slowed to its weakest in six months despite record employment, challenging the Bank of England as it considers whether to raise interest rates next month for only the second time since the financial crisis. Average weekly earnings rose by 2.5 percent on the year in the three months to May, […]

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Key Vote In Parliament Today

Following last week’s Brexit White Paper, the Customs Bill heads back to the House of Commons today. Several amendments to the bill have been tabled, including four by hard-Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg. Meanwhile, more pro-EU MPs have tabled an amendment aimed at keeping the UK in a customs union with the EU. Prime Minister Theresa May […]

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Trump – No Deal

Sterling fell to a 2-week low today as a resurgent dollar and comments by U.S. President Donald Trump that a possible trade deal was probably dead, this lead to no demand for the pound. Trump, who is visiting Britain, said Prime Minister Theresa May’s newly-announced Brexit blueprint had probably killed hopes of a U.S.-UK trade […]

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Government To Publish Brexit White Paper

Today’s attention is likely to centre on the UK government’s publication of its Brexit White Paper following last week’s Chequers meeting. The White Paper is expected to formalise the plan that ministers agreed last week and provide more detail on how the government intends to deliver on Brexit without crossing Theresa May’s red lines. While […]

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Focus on Mark Carney’s Speech

In Europe, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said UK PM May’s new Brexit proposal, after Friday’s Cabinet agreement meeting at Chequers, was a “solid step forward”. Today though, the market maybe more focused on BoE Governor Carney’s speech this afternoon in Boston, particularly with the August MPC meeting just over three weeks away. Speaking in Newcastle […]

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Industrial output and manufacturing data disappointed

Sterling rose from the day’s lows we reached yesterday afternoon though investors were wary of pushing it higher before data that may raise hopes of an interest rate hike in August and rising political uncertainty after the resignation of two top ministers. Boris Johnson followed Brexit minister David Davis in resigning in opposition to May’s […]

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