All doom and gloom for Sterling


All doom and gloom for Sterling

British Industrial growth slightly rose in March, therefore confirming a gloomy first quarter for the economy that pretty much confirms no Bank of England interest rate hike later today. The data, released along with figures for the construction industry and overseas trade, did nothing to alter the picture of an economy that has struggled for […]

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Rate hike expected now in August

The Bank of England will wait until August before raising interest rates, according to polls taken over the last few days. We expected a rate rise this Thursday, but a massive turnaround after comments from BoE Governor Mark Carney, together with weak data suggesting Britain’s economy is barely growing. At the start of April, they […]

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Sterling continues to be volatile ahead of Thursday

GBP dropped off today as many investors have continued to off-load the pound ahead of the Bank of England meeting this Thursday when the central bank is expected to keep interest rates on hold, and as worries about Brexit negotiations resurface. Tensions within Britain’s governing Conservative party over how to agree terms of exit from […]

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Sterling continues poor run

Market probability of a rate hike from the Bank of England next week has dropped to less than a tenth from more than 90 percent a month ago. Weak survey data from Britain’s services sector for April rounded off a disappointing streak of economic figures starting with last week’s shock first quarter GDP data and […]

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UK Services Data Disappoints

Sterling gained slightly yesterday after positive manufacturing data however the negative numbers continued this morning after a major survey showed Britain’s services sector struggled to recover in April from a sharp slowdown in March, further squeezing expectations of an interest rate hike next week. The IHS Markit/CIPS services purchasing managers’ index rose to 52.8 in […]

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Sterling Steadies

The British pound regained some recent losses against the euro and dollar after today’s better-than-expected UK construction PMI, which was surprisingly better following a recent string of disappointing UK economic data. The UK construction sector activity rebounded sharply in April, with the final Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) jumping to 52.5 points as compared to […]

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UK Manufacturing hits a 17 month low in April

Banks have pushed out their predictions for when the Bank of England will raise interest rates after data last week showed a sharp and unexpected slowdown in Britain’s economic growth. Expectations the British central bank would raise borrowing costs in May had already weakened after Governor Mark Carney highlighted “mixed” economic data and noted there […]

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UK GDP grows at weakest pace since 2012

Sterling fell to an eight-week low against the dollar on Friday after Britain’s economy slowed much more sharply than expected in the first three months of 2018. Sterling slumped 0.8 percent after Britain’s economy grew at its weakest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012, expanding by just 0.1 percent in Q1 2018. That figure […]

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ECB Meeting Today

The main economic event today is the ECB policy announcement at 12:45BST, followed by the press conference with President Mario Draghi at 13:30BST. No changes to interest rates or the asset purchase programme (€30bn/month) are expected. At the last meeting in March, the ECB removed its easing bias on asset purchases but kept the end […]

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Market Update

Sterling fell against the dollar today as the U.S. currency strengthened on the back of rising Treasury yields, while traders remained cautious ahead of British GDP numbers due on Friday. The economic growth release will be the last key data released before the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting early next month, and markets […]

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