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Dollar should strengthen due to US Election

• Posted by Shyam Gokani in Uncategorised
• November 7, 2016
• No Comments

Sterling fell more than 1 percent this morning against a resurgent dollar, which rebounded on news that Hillary Clinton would not face criminal charges over her private e-mail server, boosting her chances on the eve of the U.S. presidential vote.

If there still is the perception that the UK may after all be faced with a ‘soft’ Brexit, then sterling should find some support but the outcome of the U.S. election is clearly dominant now.

Politics have dominated sterling moves recently, overshadowing economic data that indicated strong growth in the UK services sectors despite Brexit concerns.

In a quiet data week for the UK, the main release will be September IP data.

A reasonably large shock would be needed to influence the initial estimate of Q3 GDP, so in all likelihood we’ll have to wait for CPI data a week later for more interesting developments.

Despite last week’s rebound, sterling has still fallen against the dollar since the EU referendum and thus far failed to reach the $1.26 mark that technical analysts said would suggest a sustained recovery.